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Introduction Lots have been written lately about stagflation. Since I have written an article on “Inflation” (https://www.gfmi.com/articles/everything-you-wanted-to-know-about-inflation-but-were-afraid-to-ask/) and a blog on “Predicting Recessions” (https://www.gfmi.com/the-long-and-short-predicting-recessions/), I thought I would combine them with an update using today’s economic variables. This article assumes you have read both the prior inflation article and the…

Introduction First, we had, and still have, supply chain issues. These challenges have led to shortages of goods and the inevitable consequences of shortages – price increases. Sourcing products from overseas has been a decades long movement commonly referred to as globalization. Specifically, companies have offshored their production, i.e., they…

What is ESG? The acronym “ESG” stands for environmental, social, and governance. More importantly, the term ESG has become synonymous with the concept of “sustainability.” In the capital markets, ESG criteria are a set of standards that should help to assess an organization’s operations evaluate potential investments in securities issued…

Introduction The rock band YES has a song called “Perpetual Change.” Capital markets resemble the title of the song as they are known for innovation and continually adapting to market changes. (And how apropos to have an adjective in our eNews article and a rock and roll song!) Cryptocurrencies and…

Introduction Economically, we are certainly in unchartered territory these days. Recovering from a global pandemic, we now face rising inflation pressures coupled with lackluster economic growth as evidenced by the negative 1.4% growth in the U.S. first quarter GDP. Central Banks worldwide are now dealing with the growing pressures of…

Introduction Cryptocurrency derivatives now make up the majority of the cryptocurrency market. I will be writing a series of articles/blogs on the spot and derivatives markets. This first article will address the cryptocurrency futures markets and, in particular, will give an overview of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) contracts. Cryptocurrency…

Leadership: How Is the Remote Workplace Changing Its Definition and Skills Set? Allow me to start with a powerful and inspirational quote from John Quincy Adams:   Leadership – In Simple Words Leadership is the process of persuasion by which an individual induces a group or another person to pursue…

I asked one of my friends what they thought SPAC could stand for. As it is the holiday season, she replied, “Send Presents at Christmas?” Nice try, but no cigar. SPACs, or Special Purpose Acquisition Companies, have been around for years, but recently have garnered much more attention due to…

Since 2008, much has changed in regards to how the Fed manages monetary policy/interest rates. We might even say “what a long strange trip it’s been.” A lot has transpired since the credit crisis in 2008, up to and including the 2020 COVID outbreak. In 2015, I wrote an article…

Inflation The press is abuzz with inflation news. Since the great recession, inflation has been extremely low, primarily registering below the Federal Reserve’s target of 2%. Recently though, inflation has increased above the Fed’s target with the Consumer Price Index coming in at over 5% for two straight months. The…

Introduction The Fisher equation is a way of decomposing a nominal yield into three components: Real yields Inflation expectations Inflation risk premium It is expressed as: (1 + nominal rate) = (1 + real rate) (1+ inflation expectations) (1+ inflation risk premium) It is common for practitioners to combine the…

Commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) have been one of the most successful sub-classes in the structured finance clade of the fixed-income genus. This article reviews the performance of the asset class, focusing on the nexus of CMBS collateral with specific aspects of the real economy and financial markets. The goal is…