Stress in the U.S. Treasury Market

Posted on: 29 November 2022

By Ken Kapner

By Ken Kapner “When financial markets come under pressure, vital functions such as the efficient allocation of capital and price formation become impaired.” BIS Quarterly Review, September 2022 Recently, there have been various signs of stress in the U.S. Treasury market. Coincidentally, there were two recent reports released by regulators…

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Inflation + Recession = Stagflation

Posted on: 8 September 2022

By Ken Kapner

By Ken Kapner What is “stagflation”? It’s when prices for goods and services are increasing while the economy is not growing. Are we headed towards it? Well, by any measure, inflation is a problem. For example, take a look at the consumer price index (CPI) going back to the early…

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Interest Rate Hedging and the Impact on Interest Rates

Posted on: 14 June 2022

By Ken Kapner

By Ken Kapner Introduction Economic fundamentals, supply chain issues, and energy prices have all contributed to interest rates moving higher. The Fed started raising rates in March of this year to combat the rise in inflation. The 10-year US. Treasury started the year around 1.53%, and at this writing is…

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COVID-19 and Model Risk

Posted on: 16 April 2020

By David Oakes

By David Oakes ‘All models are false; some models are useful.’* The COVID-19 pandemic has turned all of us into amateur epidemiologists. We follow obsessively the daily briefings of political leaders and public health experts, track the latest figures on hospital deaths and newly confirmed infections, and search desperately for…

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Tokenization – Why Should You Care?

Posted on: 24 February 2020

By Merav Ozair

By Merav Ozair, PhD There has been a lot of “buzz” about tokenization. Is it just hype? Or should you actually care? First, what is Tokenization? Simply put, in the financial context, tokenization of assets refers to the process of issuing a digital token that runs on a blockchain. This…

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The Long and Short: Predicting Recessions

Posted on: 12 November 2019

By Ken Kapner

Author: Ken Kapner Over the last year, there has been a lot pf press regarding negative yield curves and the ability of an inverted curve to predict a recession. There are other indicators that market practitioners use to foretell a recession, such as the ISM purchasing managers’ report and consumer…

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Libor Transition and the Forest of Thorns

Posted on: 29 October 2019

By Charles Gates

Most everyone who has grown up with Walt Disney classic films will recall the valiant Prince on his noble steed slashing his way through the Forest of Thorns to reach Maleficent’s castle and rescue Sleeping Beauty. While the transition from Libor to SOFR (or more generally from IBORs to Risk…

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The Long and Short: Capital Markets Primer

Posted on: 30 August 2019

By Ken Kapner

Author: Ken Kapner The Capital Markets are part of the global financial system that brings together investors and borrowers. Technically, the word capital implies a longer term, but the timing of when “short-term” actually becomes “long-term” has become a bit of a gray area. Generally speaking, short-term refers to money…

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